top of page
The pattern was visible. The questions weren't being asked.
DSRM Risk provides independent analytical capability in pattern recognition, offender intelligence, and operational environment analysis — identifying what standard frameworks miss, before the cost of not having seen it arrives.
If your organisation operates in urban environments and depends on people arriving ready to work — this work may be relevant to you.
7x
Rise in missing women cases across South Korea 2016–2018 vs prior 9-year baseline
2
Confirmed UK convictions that mapped precisely onto a DSRM profile written before either case
3
Continents across which the methodology has been applied and validated
DSRM Pattern Analysis Capability
General
Commissioned as a staff safety review for a major financial institution considering a move to Korea, the research expanded — as it always does under the DSRM external stressors framework — into territory not specifically requested.
Missing women aged 18–30 averaged 40.4 cases annually across the prior nine years. Across the three study years the figures were 118, 195, and 294 — a yearly average of 202.3. By 2018, the annual figure was more than seven times the prior baseline.
In Gyeongsan — population 261,924 — six women disappeared between 2016 and 2018. Five on a Wednesday. One on a Tuesday. A case from 2014, outside the study window, was also a Tuesday. The pattern predated the research. It had simply never been examined.
A second pattern emerged in Jeonju. Three women disappeared along the same 6km road stretch — on 11th October 2016, 11th October 2017, and 11th November 2018. Their last known locations were studio apartments housing entry-level single workers. The date recurrence, the geography, and the victim profile created a pattern that no single case file would reveal. The cases were never formally linked.
A third pattern emerged within 5km of the Hwaseong serial killer sites. Three disappearances occurred within 900 metres of each other, in a triangular formation: Friday 25th August 2017, sixth floor. Friday 13th October 2017, fifteenth floor. Saturday 28th October 2017, twenty-second floor. The ascending floor sequence — sixth, fifteenth, twenty-second — carries analytical significance that has not been publicly examined. The geographic proximity to one of South Korea’s most studied criminal sites makes the absence of formal linkage analysis a meaningful institutional observation in itself.
These three patterns share a common structure: the data was present. The questions that would have surfaced them were not being asked.
The missing persons reporting form required a date — not a day of the week. Nobody had thought to look. The form was subsequently updated. The pattern had been confirmed. The conversation had not happened.
Further patterns emerged in Jeonju — three disappearances along the same 6km road stretch across three consecutive years — and a triangular formation within 900 metres of the Hwaseong serial killer sites, with an ascending floor sequence (6th, 15th, 22nd) that has never been formally examined.
A commissioned engagement with a senior US Military command in Korea examined a crisis of institutional sexual violence severe enough to generate its own chain of command reaching to General officer level.
The profile identified a structural gap: institutions built to find and promote the best of the best had no equivalent mechanism for identifying predatory personalities who had learned to perform those same markers as cover. The promotion culture and the predatory culture were operating in the same space. Only one of them was being systematically examined.
The institutional response was delivered by a two-star General. Profiling of this nature could not be implemented as policy. The barrier appeared political, not analytical.
Wayne Couzens — a firearms-trained Metropolitan Police officer serving in the Parliamentary and Diplomatic Protection Command — kidnapped, raped and murdered Sarah Everard in March 2021. He received a whole life order.
The behavioural markers were not invisible. Couzens had an unaddressed history of indecent exposure and was known among colleagues by a nickname that named his pathology directly — years before the murder. The institution heard it. It did not act on it.
Every element of the DSRM profile — behavioural markers, institutional dynamics, enabling conditions, victim silencing — was present. The profile had been written before the case came to light.
David Carrick served in the same unit as Couzens.
In January 2023 he pleaded guilty to 49 offences including 24 rapes committed over nearly two decades. Prior complaints of domestic violence and harassment had been repeatedly missed or dismissed. He was known to colleagues as "Bastard Dave."
The profile crossed an institutional boundary — from US Military to British policing — without modification. Because the enabling conditions are not institution-specific. They are structural.
Two officers. The same unit. The same profile. Neither case had come to light when the profile was written.
In 2026, the analytical methodology was applied to the operational environment surrounding a specific urban site — 1455 3rd Street, Mission Bay, San Francisco — producing a structured environmental exposure review examining how the external environment intersects with the workforce moving through it.
The review identified ten exposure pathways, distinguished between two fundamentally different threat actor types operating in the same environment, and introduced a public health dataset — naloxone deployment records — as a leading indicator of behavioural instability before it surfaces in conventional crime statistics.
The same principle that identified the Wednesday pattern in Gyeongsan, and the structural enabling conditions in the US Military profile, produced the Mission Bay framework: structure exists in the environment that standard organisational reporting is not designed to surface. The gap is not in the data. It is in the questions being asked of it.
A monthly briefing tracking evolving environmental conditions across urban corridors surrounding designated operational sites — incorporating recorded crime data, naloxone deployment trends, violence against women indicators, and behavioural pattern analysis.
Its value lies not in the raw data monitored, but in knowing what to look for, how to interpret shifting patterns, and how to connect what the surrounding environment presents to what the organisation needs from the people moving through it.
The full Capability Statement can be read here in pdf format.

bottom of page